N. Toffanin vs E. Talavera CortesM15 Melilla Round of 32

M15 Melilla · ITF · Round of 32
#1201ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
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2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 16 September 2026 ·
clay
#1735ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
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Toffanin N.
6-4 6-4
Talavera Cortes E.
Toffanin N.
662
Talavera Cortes E.
440

N. Toffanin defeated E. Talavera Cortes in the Round of 32 at the M15 Melilla tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-4. Toffanin hit 0 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 42% of break points and securing 5 service breaks. In comparison, E. Talavera Cortes had 1 ace, 2 double faults, a 43% break point conversion rate, and 3 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Toffanin N.7/10
Talavera Cortes E.5/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: N. Toffanin edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-17M15 Melilla 1R32clayN. Toffanin6-4 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
54%
53%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
46%
Service points won·Even
50%
50%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
31%
Break points saved·Clear edge
43%
57%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
0.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.8
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Toffanin N.64%
Talavera Cortes E.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Toffanin N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw