Diane Parry vs Peyton StearnsGuadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Quarter-final

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · WTA · Quarter-final
#30WTA
1747ELO
1653Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 ·
hard
#60WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLWWLL
Parry D.
vs
Stearns P.

Diane Parry faces Peyton Stearns in the Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara quarter-final on hard. Diane Parry holds the paper edge — ranked #30.

Around the match

  • I'm super excited to be back in Guadalajara. I haven't returned in three years, but I'm eager to compete here again and have fun. I really have no expectations for this tournament except to improve in the things I've been working on.

    Stearns P.guadalajaraopen.com· 2026-09-12

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Parry D.44%
Stearns P.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
5 common opponents · Parry D. 6–0 · Stearns P. 3–3
Parry D. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1653
Surface ELO
6.3+102 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1747
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1804
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.78 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

37 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Parry D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Stearns P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Parry D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
45
44
Break points saved·Even
45
42
Break points won·Dominant
21
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
14
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
66
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
87

Parry D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Stearns P.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw