Kayo Nishimura vs Natsumi KawaguchiW35 Kyoto Round of 32

W35 Kyoto · ITF · Round of 32
#530WTA
$8kYTD
$39kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 ·
hard
#411WTA
1360ELO
1342Hard ELO
$16kYTD
$90kCAREER
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLWW
Nishimura K.
3-6 4-6
Kawaguchi N.
Nishimura K.
340
Kawaguchi N.
662

Natsumi Kawaguchi defeated Kayo Nishimura 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the W35 Kyoto tournament. Kawaguchi hit two aces and three double faults, while converting all of her break points and winning two service breaks to Nishimura's one. The win advanced Kawaguchi to the next round.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Nishimura K.5/9
Kawaguchi N.8/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-09-22W50 NanaoR32carpetNatsumi Kawaguchi6-3 6-2
2024-03-21W15 Hinode 1R16hardKayo Nishimura2-6 6-2 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Even
52%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.8
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Nishimura K.42%
Kawaguchi N.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kawaguchi N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw