Lucie Havlickova vs Aurora Zantedeschi — Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana Round of 32
Havlickova L.
Lucie Havlickova faces Aurora Zantedeschi in the Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana round of 32 on clay. Lucie Havlickova is the paper favourite — ranked #183, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage — but Aurora Zantedeschi has won their only previous meeting.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Aurora Zantedeschi carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Head-to-head: Aurora Zantedeschi leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 2 2024.
- Surface form: Lucie Havlickova 4 of 6, Aurora Zantedeschi 3 of 6 on clay recently — Lucie Havlickova the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadHavlickova L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d) · Zantedeschi A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-04 | W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 2 | R16 | clay | Aurora Zantedeschi | 6-3 1-6 7-6(3) |