Pia Lovric vs Dalma GalfiZavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana Round of 32

Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#471WTA
1235ELO
1237Clay ELO
$11kYTD
$97kCAREER
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 ·
clay
#148WTA
1677ELO
1657Clay ELO
$414kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLLLL
Lovric P.
vs
Galfi D.

Pia Lovric faces Dalma Galfi in the Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana round of 32 on clay. Dalma Galfi is the paper favourite — ranked #148, a roughly 420-point clay Elo advantage — but Pia Lovric has won their only previous meeting. Pia Lovric brings the better recent clay form (4 of 6).

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Lovric P.28%
Galfi D.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Galfi D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Dalma Galfi carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Head-to-head: Pia Lovric leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W60 Prague 2023.
  • Surface form: Pia Lovric 4 of 6, Dalma Galfi 3 of 6 on clay recently — Pia Lovric the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1237
Surface ELO
10.0+420 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1234
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1677
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

30 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
42%
Break points saved·Even
50%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.7
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Lovric P.serving43% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Galfi D.

Galfi D.serving39% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Lovric P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

Galfi D.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 86 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-30W60 PragueR32clayPia Lovric6-3 6-1

Draw