Maria Lourdes Carle vs Ekaterine Gorgodze — Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana Round of 32

Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#213WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
$181kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLLLW
—
Sets
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 ·
clay
Ekaterine Gorgodze
GEO5
Ekaterine Gorgodze
#152WTA
1478ELO
1447Clay ELO
$202kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
34 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWLWW
Lourdes Carle M.
vs
Gorgodze E.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Lourdes Carle M.70%
Gorgodze E.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lourdes Carle M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Lourdes Carle M. 0–6 · Gorgodze E. 3–5
Both lost · same surface▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lourdes Carle M.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Gorgodze E.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+14 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1447
5.1Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1478
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

38 vs 47 matches

Statistics

This season
Lourdes Carle M.Gorgodze E.
1st serve in·Clear edge
65%
78%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
45%
Service points won·Even
52%
53%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
52%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Lourdes Carle M.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Gorgodze E.

Gorgodze E.serving31% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Lourdes Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Lourdes Carle M.Gorgodze E.
Clutch Rating·Even
27
24
Break points saved·Slight edge
26
20
Break points won·Clear edge
97
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
23
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Lourdes Carle M.Gorgodze E.
Freshness·Dominant
74
100

Lourdes Carle M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Gorgodze E.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw