Cristina Bucsa vs Panna UdvardyGuadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Quarter-final

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · WTA · Quarter-final
#44WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$5.1MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWLWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 ·
hard
#83WTA
1681ELO
1577Hard ELO
$543kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLLWL
Bucsa C.
vs
Udvardy P.

Cristina Bucsa faces Panna Udvardy in the Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara quarter-final on hard. Cristina Bucsa holds the paper edge — ranked #44, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Around the match

  • It was a tough match against Bianca. I remember the last time we played in Australia, which also went to three sets. She's a super incredible player, super talented, who made me bring out all my weapons, and well, I'm very happy with that victory.

    Bucsa C.guadalajaraopen.com· 2026-09-13

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Bucsa C.58%
Udvardy P.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
8 common opponents · Bucsa C. 5–4 · Udvardy P. 5–5
Both lost · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+133 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1577
5.5Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1681
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

18 vs 37 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
47%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
43%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bucsa C.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Udvardy P.

Udvardy P.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
32
3
Break points saved·Clear edge
16
4
Break points won·Clear edge
83
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
59
9
Tiebreaks·
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
75

Bucsa C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Udvardy P.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-13CincinnatiR128hardCristina Bucsa6-2 1-6 7-5

Draw