Alycia Parks vs Sara BejlekGuadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Quarter-final

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · WTA · Quarter-final
#72WTA
1648ELO
1639Hard ELO
$845kYTD
$3.4MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLLWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 ·
hard
#28WTA
1776ELO
1749Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$2.0MCAREER
20 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWWLWL
Parks A.
vs
Bejlek S.

Alycia Parks faces Sara Bejlek in the Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara quarter-final on hard. Sara Bejlek holds the paper edge — ranked #28, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage.

Around the match

  • Parks recovered from losing the second set to defeat Lepchenko 7-5 in the decider and advance to the second round.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Parks A.guadalajaraopen.com· 2026-09-13

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Parks A.41%
Bejlek S.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bejlek S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Parks A. 2–4 · Bejlek S. 4–2
Both lost · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1639
Surface ELO
6.4+110 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1776
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

44 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Parks A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bejlek S.

Bejlek S.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Parks A.

Serve advantage — Bejlek S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
79
Break points saved·Dominant
12
77
Break points won·Dominant
23
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
50
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
97

Parks A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Bejlek S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21PragueR16claySara Bejlek7-6 6-3
2023-01-11Australian OpenQ64hardSara Bejlek5-7 6-4 6-2

Draw