Hamish Stewart vs Daniel RinconRennes Round of 32

Rennes · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#349ATP
1513ELO
1479Hard ELO
$29kYTD
$162kCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWLWLW
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
#208ATP
1522ELO
1514Hard ELO
$69kYTD
$566kCAREER
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWWLLL
Stewart H.
vs
Rincon D.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Stewart H.51%
Rincon D.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1479
Surface ELO
5.4+35 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1513
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1522
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
58%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Stewart H.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rincon D.

Rincon D.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Stewart H.

Serve advantage — Stewart H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
77

Rincon D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 87%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw