Nicolas Parizzia vs Gabriele PennafortiM25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · ITF · Round of 32
#1044ATP
$6kYTD
$49kCAREER
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
clay
#796ATP
26 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWW
Parizzia N.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Pennaforti G.
Parizzia N.
4662
Pennaforti G.
6321

Nicolas Parizzia defeated Gabriele Pennaforti in the Round of 32 at the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 in favor of Parizzia. Parizzia hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, while converting 20% of break points and securing 1 service break, compared to Pennaforti's 2 aces, 1 double fault, 11% break point conversion, and 1 service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Parizzia N.13/14
Pennaforti G.10/14

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-17M15 Gubbio 1R16clayGabriele Pennaforti6-4 6-4
2022-02-06M15 Antalya 5Q64clayNicolas Parizzia6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
58%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
48%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Parizzia N.32%
Pennaforti G.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Pennaforti G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Parizzia N.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw