Thiago Monteiro vs Stefano Travaglia — Szczecin Round of 32
BRAALT
Monteiro T.
Thiago Monteiro faces Stefano Travaglia in the Szczecin round of 32 on clay. Stefano Travaglia is the paper favourite — ranked #147, leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Thiago Monteiro arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 9 on clay to Stefano Travaglia's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Monteiro T. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Thiago Monteiro comes in with 3 days of rest and 116 games in 14d, vs Stefano Travaglia's 3 and 52.
- Head-to-head: Stefano Travaglia leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at Great Ocean Road Open 2021.
- Surface form: Thiago Monteiro 5 of 9, Stefano Travaglia 3 of 9 on clay recently — Thiago Monteiro the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMonteiro T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Travaglia S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-01 | Great Ocean Road Open | SF | hard | Stefano Travaglia | 6-3 6-4 |