Tiago Pereira vs Rudolf MollekerSzczecin Qualifying Round of 16

Szczecin · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#355ATP
1179ELO
1200Clay ELO
$57kYTD
$221kCAREER
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
clay
Court 2 · 1st on
#458ATP
1387ELO
1382Clay ELO
$18kYTD
$790kCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWWWLW
Pereira T.
2-6 6-4 7-6
Molleker R.
Pereira T.
26772
Molleker R.
64641

Tiago Pereira defeated Rudolf Molleker in the quarterfinals of the Szczecin tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 6-4, 7-6 in favor of Pereira. Key stats included 4 aces and 1 double fault for Pereira, compared to 6 aces and 2 double faults for Molleker.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Pereira T.11/15
Molleker R.12/15

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-01M25 Bol 2FclayRudolf Molleker6-4 6-7(5) 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
48%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Pereira T.39%
Molleker R.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Molleker R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1200
Surface ELO
7.3+182 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1179
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1387
4.3Trails 1–2 on clay
H2H
5.7Leads 2–1 on clay
4.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
84

Pereira T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 106 games (7d) · Molleker R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw