Marvin Moeller vs Daniel Michalski — Szczecin Round of 32
POLWC
Moeller M.
Marvin Moeller faces Daniel Michalski in the Szczecin round of 32 on clay. Marvin Moeller is the paper favourite — ranked #278 — but Daniel Michalski arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on clay to Marvin Moeller's 6.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Moeller M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Marvin Moeller has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 48 vs Daniel Michalski's 27).
- Surface form: Marvin Moeller 6 of 10, Daniel Michalski 9 of 10 on clay recently — Daniel Michalski the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Marvin Moeller carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMoeller M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.