Taiyo Yamanaka vs Ryuki MatsudaPhan Thiet 4 Qualifying Round of 16

Phan Thiet 4 · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#830ATP
$7kYTD
$46kCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 4 · 2nd on
#764ATP
$10kYTD
$111kCAREER
26 yrs · 157 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWLWW
Yamanaka T.
4-6 4-6
Matsuda R.
Yamanaka T.
440
Matsuda R.
662

Ryuki Matsuda defeated Taiyo Yamanaka in the Q16 of the Phan Thiet 4 hard court tournament. The match ended with a straight sets victory for Matsuda, 6-4, 6-4. Neither player recorded an ace, double fault, or service break during the match.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Yamanaka T.6/10
Matsuda R.8/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Ryuki Matsuda edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-06M15 Harmon 1R16hardRyuki Matsuda6-3 6-4
2023-03-02M15 Monastir 9R16hardRyuki Matsuda6-0 6-2
2023-02-16M15 Monastir 7R16hardTaiyo Yamanaka6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
1.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Yamanaka T.61%
Matsuda R.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Yamanaka T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.51 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
88

Yamanaka T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Matsuda R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw