Vitaliy Sachko vs Filip Cristian JianuSzczecin Round of 32

Szczecin · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#188ATP
1584ELO
1550Clay ELO
$194kYTD
$872kCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWLLWL
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
clay
#269ATP
1387ELO
1362Clay ELO
$85kYTD
$463kCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWWWW
Sachko V.
vs
Jianu F.

Vitaliy Sachko faces Filip Cristian Jianu in the Szczecin round of 32 on clay. Vitaliy Sachko holds the paper edge — ranked #188, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Sachko V.47%
Jianu F.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Vitaliy Sachko comes in with 1 days of rest and 78 games in 14d, vs Filip Cristian Jianu's 5 and 57.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Vitaliy Sachko has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 51 vs 16).
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 8 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+188 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Clay Elo 1362
7.5Overall Elo 1584
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1387
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
56%
71%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sachko V.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Jianu F.

Jianu F.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sachko V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
51
16
Break points saved·Dominant
81
55
Break points won·Even
48
52
Deciding sets·Dominant
76
13
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
19
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
65
85

Sachko V.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Jianu F.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
16°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 75%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw