Polona Hercog vs Julie StruplovaZavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana Round of 32

Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#225WTA
1590ELO
1574Clay ELO
$48kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
35 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
clay
Centre Court · 2nd on
#224WTA
1403ELO
1386Clay ELO
$27kYTD
$123kCAREER
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWWL
Hercog P.
6-7 2-6
Struplova J.
Hercog P.
6520
Struplova J.
7762

Julie Struplova defeated Polona Hercog in the Round of 32 at the Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 6-2. Struplova and Hercog were even in service breaks, each converting one, and neither player hit a double fault. Struplova did not hit an ace, while Hercog had one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Hercog P.7/11
Struplova J.9/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-15W35 Antalya 3R16clayPolona Hercog6-2 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
51%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
0.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Hercog P.32%
Struplova J.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Struplova J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+188 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Clay Elo 1386
7.3Overall Elo 1590
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1403
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
94

Hercog P.: 20 days rest · Struplova J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw