Hayato Matsuoka vs Lloyd Harris — Guangzhou Round of 32
RSA3
Matsuoka H.
Hayato Matsuoka faces Lloyd Harris in the Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. Lloyd Harris holds the paper edge — ranked #139, a roughly 310-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Harris L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Hayato Matsuoka 53 games in 14 days, Lloyd Harris 45.
- Surface form: Hayato Matsuoka 6 of 10, Lloyd Harris 8 of 10 on hard recently — Lloyd Harris the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMatsuoka H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Harris L.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
3rd on Center Court · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Wei Kang Leong M. v Liu H.2-66-14-0
- 2Ymer E. v Pankin S.Live5-72-2
- 3Matsuoka H. v Harris L.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.