Naoya Honda vs Jesse Flores β€” Guangzhou Qualifying Round of 16

Guangzhou Β· CHALLENGER Β· Qualifying Round of 16
#647ATP
1240ELO
1236Hard ELO
$11kYTD
$42kCAREER
20 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLLWLLWLLW
2 β€” 0
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 Β·
hard
COURT 2 Β· 1st on
#857ATP
$6kYTD
$52kCAREER
31 yrs Β· 188 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLLLLWLWLL
Honda N.
6-4 6-4
Flores J.
Honda N.
662
Flores J.
440

Naoya Honda defeated Jesse Flores 6-4, 6-4 in the Guangzhou hard-court tournament's round of 16. The match saw both players hit one ace, with Honda committing zero double faults to Flores' one. Honda converted one of three break points and won one service break to Flores' zero.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Honda N.7/11
Flores J.6/11

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Naoya Honda edged a tight contest from start to finish β€” 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Clear edge
54%
72%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
54%
55%
Service points wonΒ·Even
66%
66%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
42%
34%
Break points savedΒ·Clear edge
53%
67%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
5.2
3.0
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
3.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 07:50 UTC
Honda N.70%
Flores J.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Honda N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model Β· 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.33 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Clear edge
89
76

Honda N.: 1 day rest Β· 1 match, 17 games (7d) Β· Flores J.: 1 day rest Β· 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29Β°CDrizzle
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw