Andrew Fenty vs Ryan SeggermanTiburon Qualifying Round of 32

Tiburon · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#397ATP
1199ELO
1183Hard ELO
$25kYTD
$90kCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
KENNEDY-GROSSMAN COURT · 4th on
#683ATP
$15kYTD
$458kCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLL
Fenty A.
7-6 5-7 2-6
Seggerman R.
Fenty A.
78521
Seggerman R.
66762

Ryan Seggerman defeated Andrew Fenty 6-7, 7-5, 6-2 in the qualifying second round of the Tiburon hard-court tournament. Seggerman hit 26 aces to Fenty's 4 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Fenty's 17%. Seggerman won four service breaks to Fenty's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Fenty A.5/16
Seggerman R.8/16

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
11.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Fenty A.53%
Seggerman R.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
5.5Won 59% in USA (75)
Country comfort
5.6Won 61% in USA (28)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
75
75

Fenty A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Seggerman R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw