Michele Ribecai vs Titouan DroguetRennes Round of 32

Rennes · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#264ATP
1373ELO
1289Hard ELO
$53kYTD
$95kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10
LLWLWWWLWW
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
#103ATP
1717ELO
1650Hard ELO
$520kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLWWLW
Ribecai M.
vs
Droguet T.

Michele Ribecai faces Titouan Droguet in the Rennes round of 32 on hard. Titouan Droguet holds the paper edge — ranked #103, a roughly 360-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Ribecai M.28%
Droguet T.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Droguet T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.5Hard Elo 1289
Surface ELO
9.5+361 Hard Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1373
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 1717
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
8.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ribecai M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Droguet T.

Droguet T.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ribecai M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
83
54

Ribecai M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Droguet T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 87%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw