Marco Cecchinato vs Henri SquireSzczecin Round of 32

Szczecin · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#166ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$204kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWWWL
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
clay
#215ATP
1511ELO
1490Clay ELO
$99kYTD
$599kCAREER
25 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLWLW
Cecchinato M.
vs
Squire H.

Marco Cecchinato faces Henri Squire in the Szczecin round of 32 on clay. Marco Cecchinato holds the paper edge — ranked #166, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Cecchinato M.51%
Squire H.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+56 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1490
5.8Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1511
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

31 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
46%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
5.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cecchinato M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Squire H.

Squire H.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Cecchinato M.

Serve advantage — Cecchinato M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
40
40
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
87
Break points won·Even
12
12
Deciding sets·Slight edge
59
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
77
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
93

Cecchinato M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d) · Squire H.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
16°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 75%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw