Miriam Bianca Bulgaru vs Lina GjorcheskaZavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana Round of 32

Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#351WTA
1366ELO
1330Clay ELO
$78kYTD
$561kCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLLWL
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
clay
Court 3 · 3rd on
#327WTA
1471ELO
1437Clay ELO
$186kYTD
$637kCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLLLW
Bianca Bulgaru M.
vs
Gjorcheska L.

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru faces Lina Gjorcheska in the Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana round of 32 on clay. Lina Gjorcheska is the paper favourite — ranked #327, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage — but Miriam Bianca Bulgaru has won their only previous meeting. Miriam Bianca Bulgaru brings the better recent clay form (3 of 7).

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Bianca Bulgaru M.28%
Gjorcheska L.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gjorcheska L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Bianca Bulgaru M. 0–1 · Gjorcheska L. 0–1 · small sample
Both lost · same surface, 9 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1330
Surface ELO
6.3+107 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1366
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1471
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
55%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
37%
Service points won·Even
51%
54%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
43%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
7.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bianca Bulgaru M.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Gjorcheska L.

Gjorcheska L.serving46% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Bianca Bulgaru M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
86

Bianca Bulgaru M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Gjorcheska L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on Court 3 · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Boskovic L. v Serban R.
    6-767-656-2
  2. 2Chiesa D. v Ciric Bagaric L.Live
    6-41-1
  3. 3Bianca Bulgaru M. v Gjorcheska L.This match

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-10W35 Kursumlijska Banja 2FclayMiriam Bianca Bulgaru5-7 6-1 6-0

Draw