Blaise Bicknell vs Trevor SvajdaTiburon Round of 32

Tiburon · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#391ATP
1313ELO
1290Hard ELO
$37kYTD
$115kCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLLWL
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
#400ATP
1485ELO
1451Hard ELO
$81kYTD
$177kCAREER
20 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWWLW
Bicknell B.
vs
Svajda T.

Blaise Bicknell faces Trevor Svajda in the Tiburon round of 32 on hard. Blaise Bicknell is the paper favourite — ranked #391 — but Trevor Svajda arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 10 on hard to Blaise Bicknell's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Bicknell B.37%
Svajda T.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Svajda T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1290
Surface ELO
7.0+161 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1313
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1485
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.62 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.9Won 64% in USA (70)
Country comfort
6.3Won 72% in USA (58)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
71%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
43%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bicknell B.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Svajda T.

Svajda T.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Bicknell B.

Serve advantage — Svajda T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Bicknell B.: 18 days rest · Svajda T.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
19°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw