Lorenzo Berto vs Andrey Chepelev β€” M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#1408ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
0 β€” 2
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 Β·
clay
#383ATP
$30kYTD
$180kCAREER
28 yrs Β· 178 cm Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
Berto L.
5-7 3-6
Chepelev A.
Berto L.
530
Chepelev A.
762

Andrey Chepelev defeated Lorenzo Berto 7-5, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula. Chepelev and Berto were even in break points converted, but Chepelev won more service breaks to take the match. Chepelev did not hit an ace or a double fault, while Berto had two aces and eight double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Berto L.7/10
Chepelev A.10/11

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
40%
49%
Service points wonΒ·Even
58%
59%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points savedΒ·Dominant
31%
58%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
4.7
2.5
Double faults / matchΒ·Slight edge
1.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 08:50 UTC
Berto L.19%
Chepelev A.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite Β· Chepelev A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·
β€”
90

Chepelev A.: 7 days rest Β· 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27Β°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw