Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Nishesh BasavareddyTiburon Round of 32

Tiburon · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#310ATP
1517ELO
1429Hard ELO
29 yrs
Last 10
LLWLWWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
#163ATP
1722ELO
1681Hard ELO
$367kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLWLLW
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
vs
Basavareddy N.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Ribeiro Marcondes I.26%
Basavareddy N.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Basavareddy N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1429
Surface ELO
8.1+251 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1517
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1722
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
53%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ribeiro Marcondes I.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Basavareddy N.

Basavareddy N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ribeiro Marcondes I.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Ribeiro Marcondes I.: 20 days rest · Basavareddy N.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
19°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw