Erika Andreeva vs Viktoria HruncakovaLadies Open - Caldas da Rainha Round of 32

Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#206WTA
1553ELO
1513Hard ELO
$83kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWWLLW
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
CM Caldas da Rainha Court 1 · 4th on
#208WTA
1518ELO
1479Hard ELO
$157kYTD
$3.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWLWL
Andreeva E.
vs
Hruncakova V.

Erika Andreeva faces Viktoria Hruncakova in the Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha round of 32 on hard. Erika Andreeva holds the paper edge — ranked #206, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Andreeva E.49%
Hruncakova V.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+35 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1479
5.4Overall Elo 1553
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1518
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

40 vs 38 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
6.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Andreeva E.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Hruncakova V.

Hruncakova V.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Andreeva E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
16
Break points saved·Dominant
56
12
Break points won·Dominant
86
11
Deciding sets·Slight edge
77
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Andreeva E.: 21 days rest · Hruncakova V.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on CM Caldas da Rainha Court 1 · Not before 5:00 PM · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Voloshchuk A. v Arseneault A.
    6-26-4
  2. 2Brantmeier R. v Collins K.
    5-73-6
  3. 3Nozdrachova M. v Cross K.
  4. 4Andreeva E. v Hruncakova V.This match
  5. 5Kraus S. v Pohankova M.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw