Adrian Mannarino vs Dan Added — Rennes Round of 32
FRA1
FRA
Mannarino A.Adrian Mannarino faces Dan Added in the Rennes round of 32 on hard. Adrian Mannarino is the paper favourite — ranked #67, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage — but Dan Added arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 7 on hard to Adrian Mannarino's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Mannarino A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Adrian Mannarino comes in with 10 days of rest and 69 games in 14d, vs Dan Added's 5 and 20.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Adrian Mannarino has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 61 vs 21).
- Surface form: Adrian Mannarino 2 of 7, Dan Added 3 of 7 on hard recently — Dan Added the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMannarino A.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Added D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.