Robert Strombachs vs Pavlos Tsitsipas — Szczecin Qualifying Round of 32

Szczecin · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
Robert Strombachs
GER
Robert Strombachs
#415ATP
1294ELO
1256Clay ELO
$19kYTD
$174kCAREER
26 yrs
Last 10
LLLWWWWWWW
—
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
clay
COURT BOHDAN TOMASZEWSKI · 4th on
GREWC
Pavlos Tsitsipas
#1027ATP
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWLLWW
Strombachs R.
vs
Tsitsipas P.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Strombachs R.78%
Tsitsipas P.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Strombachs R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Strombachs R.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Tsitsipas P.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

12 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season
Strombachs R.Tsitsipas P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
5.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.6
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Strombachs R.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas P.

Tsitsipas P.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Strombachs R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Strombachs R.Tsitsipas P.
Freshness·
94
—

Strombachs R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on COURT BOHDAN TOMASZEWSKI · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Wehnelt K. v Zielinski M.
    6-746-26-2
  2. 2Sanchez Jover C. v Pieczonka F.
    5-73-6
  3. 3Blanch D. v Chlodnicki J.Live
    6-20-0
  4. 4Strombachs R. v Tsitsipas P.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CRain
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw