Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin | Phan Thiet 3 Final

Phan Thiet 3 · CHALLENGER · Final

FRA8

Arthur Weber

#405ATP

$8kYTD

$106kCAREER

34 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WWWWWWWWWL

—

Sets

Sunday, 13 September 2026 · 10:00

hard

CENTER COURT · 1st on

RUS3

Ilia Simakin

#275ATP

1463ELO

1505Hard ELO

$74kYTD

$196kCAREER

22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWWWWWWL

Weber A.

Simakin I.

Arthur Weber faces Ilia Simakin in the Phan Thiet 3 final on hard. Ilia Simakin holds the paper edge — ranked #275. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC

Weber A.30%

Simakin I.70%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Simakin I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Arthur Weber 45 games in 14 days, Ilia Simakin 167.
Win streak: Both arrive in form — Arthur Weber on a 4-match run, Ilia Simakin on 9.
Surface form: Both 9 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Weber A.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Simakin I.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.66 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

9.49 of last 10 on hard

7.04-match win streak

Win streak

10.09-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

13 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season

Weber A.Simakin I.

1st serve in·Slight edge

71%

62%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

60%

72%

2nd serve points won·Even

52%

Service points won·Slight edge

58%

64%

Return points won·Even

36%

38%

Break points saved·Slight edge

54%

65%

Aces / match·Dominant

2.3

6.9

Double faults / match·Clear edge

1.4

2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Weber A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Simakin I.

Simakin I.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Weber A.

Serve advantage — Simakin I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Weber A.Simakin I.

Freshness·Clear edge

Weber A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 45 games (7d) · Simakin I.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 109 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

30°CDrizzle

Wind 18 km/hHumidity 70%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin — Phan Thiet 3 Final