Daisuke Sumizawa vs Kosuke Ogura — Guangzhou Qualifying Round of 32
Sumizawa D.Daisuke Sumizawa faces Kosuke Ogura in the Guangzhou qualifying round of 32 on hard. Kosuke Ogura holds the paper edge — ranked #821. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Sumizawa D. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at M15 Osaka 2 2025.
- Surface form: Daisuke Sumizawa 3 of 10, Kosuke Ogura 5 of 10 on hard recently — Kosuke Ogura the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Kosuke Ogura carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About
When it starts
2nd on Court 4 · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Trongcharoenchaikul W. v Flores J.
- 2Sumizawa D. v Ogura K.This match
- 3Zhukov M. v Loof T.
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | M15 Osaka 2 | R32 | hard | Daisuke Sumizawa | 6-1 5-7 7-6(9) |
| 2021-09-30 | M15 Monastir 37 | R16 | hard | Kosuke Ogura | 6-2 3-6 6-2 |