Tena Lukas vs Madison Sieg β€” BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia Qualifying Round of 16

BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia Β· CHALLENGER Β· Qualifying Round of 16
#405WTA
1356ELO
1344Clay ELO
$20kYTD
$431kCAREER
31 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 Β·
clay
Court 5 Β· 2nd on
#355WTA
1237ELO
1207Clay ELO
$22kYTD
$108kCAREER
23 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLLLWLWWL
Lukas T.
3-6 4-6
Sieg M.
Lukas T.
340
Sieg M.
662

Madison Sieg defeated Tena Lukas 6-3, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia. Sieg served one ace and committed three double faults, while Lukas had no aces and one double fault. Sieg converted 50% of her break points and won one service break to advance.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Lukas T.3/4
Sieg M.11/15

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Madison Sieg closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
63%
57%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
42%
45%
Service points wonΒ·Even
54%
53%
Return points wonΒ·Even
48%
48%
Break points savedΒ·Even
50%
52%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
2.8
1.3
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
6.5
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 10:50 UTC
Lukas T.53%
Sieg M.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up Β· Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+137 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1207
6.5Overall Elo 1356
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1237
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.83 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Slight edge
95
87

Lukas T.: 6 days rest Β· 1 match, 17 games (7d) Β· Sieg M.: 6 days rest Β· 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw