Maxim Zhukov vs Thijmen LoofGuangzhou Qualifying Round of 32

Guangzhou · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#544ATP
$5kYTD
$59kCAREER
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLWWLL
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 4 · 3rd on
#1526ATP
24 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLLW
Zhukov M.
vs
Loof T.

Maxim Zhukov faces Thijmen Loof in the Guangzhou qualifying round of 32 on hard. Maxim Zhukov is the paper favourite — ranked #544 — but Thijmen Loof arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 7 on hard to Maxim Zhukov's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Zhukov M.72%
Loof T.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zhukov M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.62 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

2 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
51%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
39%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
23%
47%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
9.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
8.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zhukov M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Loof T.

Loof T.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Zhukov M.

Serve advantage — Loof T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
87

Zhukov M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Loof T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on Court 4 · Followed By · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Trongcharoenchaikul W. v Flores J.
  2. 2Sumizawa D. v Ogura K.
  3. 3Zhukov M. v Loof T.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 90%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw