Alycia Parks vs Varvara LepchenkoGuadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Round of 32

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · WTA · Round of 32
#72WTA
1648ELO
1639Hard ELO
$845kYTD
$3.4MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
hard
Cancha Mexcovery.com · 2nd on
#179WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
$174kYTD
$5.8MCAREER
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
Parks A.
6-3 1-6 7-5
Lepchenko V.
Parks A.
6172
Lepchenko V.
3651

Alycia Parks defeated Varvara Lepchenko in the Round of 32 at the Guadalajara Open Akron. Parks won the match 6-3, 1-6, 7-5, despite being outbroken 3-2 and converting a lower percentage of break points. Parks served 5 aces to Lepchenko's 1 and committed 9 double faults to Lepchenko's 5.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Parks A.8/14
Lepchenko V.8/14

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Alycia Parks closed it out in three sets, 6–3 1–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
0
13
Break points saved·Slight edge
12
17
Break points won·Dominant
23
56
Deciding sets·Even
9
10
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
50
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Parks A.70%
Lepchenko V.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Parks A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+80 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1559
5.9Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1578
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
70

Parks A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Lepchenko V.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw