Naoya Honda vs Hao Duan — Guangzhou Qualifying Round of 32
Guangzhou · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
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Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
hard
COURT 5 · 1st on
Honda N.vs
Duan H.
Naoya Honda faces Hao Duan in the Guangzhou qualifying round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTCHonda N.79%
Duan H.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Honda N. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Naoya Honda 4 of 10, Hao Duan 3 of 10 on hard recently — Naoya Honda the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Naoya Honda carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form0.0
Win streakContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
12 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
54%
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1st serve points won·
76%
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2nd serve points won·
54%
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Service points won·
66%
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Return points won·
42%
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Break points saved·
53%
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Aces / match·
5.2
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Double faults / match·
3.8
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Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
When it starts
1st on COURT 5 · Starts At 16:00 · up next on court
- 1Honda N. v Duan H.This match
- 2Binda A. v Uesugi K.
- 3Delaney J. v Takahashi Y.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CThunderstorm
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 91%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.