Rositsa Dencheva vs Alevtina Ibragimova | Rositsa Dencheva Wins 7-5 6-4

ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · CHALLENGER · Final

BULQ

Rositsa Dencheva

#280WTA

1355ELO

1333Clay ELO

$31kYTD

$62kCAREER

19 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

WWWWWWLWWW

2 — 0

Sets

Sunday, 13 September 2026 · 13:20

clay

Center court · 1st on

RUS

Alevtina Ibragimova

#219WTA

1508ELO

1472Clay ELO

$35kYTD

$122kCAREER

21 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWWWLWLWLW

Dencheva R.

7-5 6-4

Ibragimova A.

Dencheva R.

762

Ibragimova A.

540

Rositsa Dencheva defeated Alevtina Ibragimova in the final of the ATIK Antalya Open in Antalya, winning 7-5, 6-4 on clay. Both players recorded identical key statistics, including zero aces, two double faults, 60 percent break point conversion, and three service breaks each. Dencheva's victory earned her the title.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final

Dencheva R.6/10

Ibragimova A.5/12

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Match story: Rositsa Dencheva edged Alevtina Ibragimova in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Dencheva R.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Ibragimova A.

Ibragimova A.serving28% hold

wins 41% of points on serve vs Dencheva R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Dencheva R.Ibragimova A.

1st serve in·Even

73%

70%

1st serve points won·Even

58%

59%

2nd serve points won·Even

44%

Service points won·Even

54%

Return points won·Even

51%

48%

Break points saved·Slight edge

52%

57%

Aces / match·Slight edge

0.1

1.3

Double faults / match·Slight edge

2.0

2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC

Dencheva R.55%

Ibragimova A.45%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Dencheva R.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Ibragimova A.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

3.3Clay Elo 1332

Surface ELO

6.7+139 Clay Elo edge

3.1Overall Elo 1355

ELO gap

6.9Overall Elo 1508

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

10.010 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

8.28 of last 10 on clay

9.07-match win streak

Win streak

7.04-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Dencheva R.Ibragimova A.

Freshness·Clear edge

Dencheva R.: 1 day rest · 6 matches, 146 games (7d) · Ibragimova A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather

30°CClear

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 69%

Rositsa Dencheva vs Alevtina Ibragimova — ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya Final

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Statistics

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return