Hanyi Liu vs Yaroslav Demin — Guangzhou Qualifying Round of 32
Guangzhou · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
—
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT COURT 1 · 1st on
Liu H.vs
Demin Y.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTCLiu H.32%
Demin Y.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Demin Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.53 of last 10 on hard
Surface form0.91 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countSurface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
2 vs 3 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
75%
64%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
9.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Liu H.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
When it starts
1st on CENTER COURT COURT 1 · Starts At 16:00 · up next on court
- 1Liu H. v Demin Y.This match
- 2Hao Huang T. v Dao Chen X.
- 3Yang Z. v Fancutt T.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CThunderstorm
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 91%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.