Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Mika BrunoldTulln Final

Tulln · CHALLENGER · Final
#282ATP
1486ELO
1470Clay ELO
$156kYTD
$453kCAREER
26 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLLLLL
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#410ATP
1466ELO
1407Clay ELO
$24kYTD
$147kCAREER
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLWWW
Reis Da Silva J.
vs
Brunold M.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva faces Mika Brunold in the Tulln final on clay. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva is the paper favourite — ranked #282, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage — but Mika Brunold arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 9 on clay to Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Reis Da Silva J.46%
Brunold M.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+64 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1407
5.2Overall Elo 1486
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1466
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.29 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

24 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
56%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Reis Da Silva J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Brunold M.

Brunold M.serving73% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Reis Da Silva J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
12
24
Break points saved·Clear edge
49
72
Break points won·Dominant
43
15
Deciding sets·Slight edge
9
3
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
60

Reis Da Silva J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Brunold M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 100 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw