Alexandr Binda vs Kaito Uesugi — Guangzhou Qualifying Round of 32
Guangzhou · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
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Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
hard
COURT 5 · 2nd on
Binda A.vs
Uesugi K.
Alexandr Binda faces Kaito Uesugi in the Guangzhou qualifying round of 32 on hard. Alexandr Binda holds the paper edge — ranked #552.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCBinda A.58%
Uesugi K.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Alexandr Binda 5 of 8, Kaito Uesugi 1 of 8 on hard recently — Alexandr Binda the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Kaito Uesugi carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form2.02 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
19 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
58%
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1st serve points won·
64%
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2nd serve points won·
48%
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Service points won·
57%
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Return points won·
40%
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Break points saved·
45%
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Aces / match·
2.5
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Double faults / match·
3.1
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Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
When it starts
2nd on COURT 5 · Not Before 17:00 · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Honda N. v Duan H.
- 2Binda A. v Uesugi K.This match
- 3Delaney J. v Takahashi Y.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CDrizzle
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 91%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.