Bryce Nakashima vs Kaylan BigunTiburon Qualifying Round of 32

Tiburon · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#872ATP
$5kYTD
$21kCAREER
22 yrs
Last 10
WWWWWLWLLW
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
hard
KENNEDY-GROSSMAN COURT · 3rd on
#586ATP
1302ELO
1275Hard ELO
$16kYTD
$76kCAREER
20 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLLLL
Nakashima B.
vs
Bigun K.

Bryce Nakashima faces Kaylan Bigun in the Tiburon qualifying round of 32 on hard. Kaylan Bigun is the paper favourite — ranked #586 — but Bryce Nakashima arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 9 on hard to Kaylan Bigun's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Nakashima B.68%
Bigun K.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Nakashima B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.21 of last 5 on hard
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.6Won 59% in USA (79)
Country comfort
4.4Won 39% in USA (38)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
30%
39%
Break points saved·Dominant
0%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.0
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bigun K.

Bigun K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve advantage — Nakashima B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Bigun K.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on KENNEDY-GROSSMAN COURT · Followed By · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Johnson S. v Gogineni V.
  2. 2Baris O. v Claverie L.
  3. 3Nakashima B. v Bigun K.This match
  4. 4Fenty A. v Seggerman R.

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 36%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw