Peyton Stearns vs Emiliana ArangoGuadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Round of 32

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · WTA · Round of 32
#60WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
hard
Estadio Skarch · 2nd on
#139WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
$708kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLL
Stearns P.
6-3 6-2
Arango E.
Stearns P.
662
Arango E.
320

Peyton Stearns defeated Emiliana Arango in the Round of 32 at the Guadalajara Open Akron. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-2 in favor of Stearns. Stearns hit one ace and one double fault, while converting 100% of her break points and securing two service breaks to Arango's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Stearns P.7/9
Arango E.2/8

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-25W80 TylerR32hardEmiliana Arango6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
53%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.4
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
44
16
Break points saved·Dominant
42
9
Break points won·Dominant
96
36
Deciding sets·Dominant
14
51
Tiebreaks·
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Stearns P.74%
Arango E.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Stearns P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+179 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1576
7.2Overall Elo 1804
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1624
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
76

Stearns P.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Arango E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw