Egor Agafonov vs Taiyo Yamanaka — Phan Thiet 4 Qualifying Round of 32
Agafonov E.
Egor Agafonov faces Taiyo Yamanaka in the Phan Thiet 4 qualifying round of 32 on hard. Egor Agafonov is the paper favourite — ranked #670, leading the head-to-head 2–0 — but Taiyo Yamanaka arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 10 on hard to Egor Agafonov's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Egor Agafonov 15 games in 14 days, Taiyo Yamanaka 39.
- Head-to-head: Egor Agafonov leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at M15 Maanshan 9 2025.
- Surface form: Egor Agafonov 3 of 10, Taiyo Yamanaka 5 of 10 on hard recently — Taiyo Yamanaka the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsStatistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadAgafonov E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Yamanaka T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-12 | M15 Maanshan 9 | QF | hard | Egor Agafonov | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2025-09-05 | M15 Maanshan 8 | QF | hard | Egor Agafonov | 7-6(6) 7-5 |