Chloe Paquet vs Martina Capurro TabordaSao Paulo Qualifying Round of 16

Sao Paulo · WTA · Qualifying Round of 16
#297WTA
1479ELO
1432Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
32 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLWLLW
Sets
Saturday, 12 September 2026 ·
hard
#242WTA
1360ELO
1287Hard ELO
$30kYTD
$240kCAREER
28 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWLW
Paquet C.
vs
Capurro Taborda M.

Chloe Paquet faces Martina Capurro Taborda in the Sao Paulo qualifying round of 16 on hard. Martina Capurro Taborda holds the paper edge — ranked #242.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Paquet C.35%
Capurro Taborda M.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Capurro Taborda M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Martina Capurro Taborda has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 34 vs 0).
  • Fatigue load: Chloe Paquet carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+145 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1287
6.5Overall Elo 1479
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1360
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.87 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

41 vs 38 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Break points saved·Even
52%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
0.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Paquet C.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Capurro Taborda M.

Capurro Taborda M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Paquet C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
34
Break points saved·Dominant
5
37
Break points won·Dominant
6
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
0
44
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw