Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Pedro SakamotoM15 Leme Semi-final

M15 Leme · ITF · Semi-final
#1153ATP
21 yrs
Last 10
WWWWWWWLWL
Sets
Saturday, 12 September 2026 ·
clay
#507ATP
1281ELO
1266Clay ELO
$16kYTD
$292kCAREER
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLLLWLW
Remondy Pagotto V.
vs
Sakamoto P.

Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto faces Pedro Sakamoto in the M15 Leme semi-final on clay. Pedro Sakamoto is the paper favourite — ranked #507 — but Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay to Pedro Sakamoto's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Remondy Pagotto V.39%
Sakamoto P.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sakamoto P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
3.33 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

8 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Remondy Pagotto V.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Sakamoto P.

Sakamoto P.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Remondy Pagotto V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 52%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw