Goncalo Marques vs Fausto Tabacco β€” M25 Sintra Semi-final

M25 Sintra Β· ITF Β· Semi-final
#762ATP
$11kYTD
$19kCAREER
20 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWLLWWWWL
2 β€” 1
Sets
Saturday, 12 September 2026 Β·
hard
#563ATP
$11kYTD
$77kCAREER
24 yrs Β· 183 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWLWWLWLW
Marques G.
3-6 6-4 6-4
Tabacco F.
Marques G.
3662
Tabacco F.
6441

Goncalo Marques defeated Fausto Tabacco in the semifinals of the M25 Sintra tournament, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-4, 6-4. Marques hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 75% of his break points and winning 3 service breaks. Tabacco had 4 double faults, converted 36% of his break points, and won 4 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Marques G.6/16
Tabacco F.4/14

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Clear edge
56%
70%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
51%
42%
Service points wonΒ·Even
61%
58%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
42%
48%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
3.4
2.3
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
3.2
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 08:50 UTC
Marques G.30%
Tabacco F.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Tabacco F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Slight edge
98
90

Marques G.: 12 days rest Β· 1 match (14d) Β· Tabacco F.: 11 days rest Β· 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24Β°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw