Ariana Geerlings vs Francesca Pace — W35 Reus Semi-final

W35 Reus · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
ESPWC
Ariana Geerlings
#589WTA
$11kYTD
$75kCAREER
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 12 September 2026 ·
clay
ITA2
Francesca Pace
#324WTA
$17kYTD
$62kCAREER
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
Geerlings A.
6-2 7-5
Pace F.
Geerlings A.
672
Pace F.
250

Ariana Geerlings defeated Francesca Pace 6-2, 7-5 in the semifinals of the W35 Reus clay court tournament. Geerlings converted 38% of her break points and secured three service breaks, compared to Pace's one. Geerlings also committed two double faults to Pace's three.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Geerlings A.8/8
Pace F.7/12

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Geerlings A.Pace F.
1st serve in·
—
66%
1st serve points won·
—
60%
2nd serve points won·
—
43%
Service points won·
—
54%
Return points won·
—
43%
Break points saved·
—
50%
Aces / match·
—
1.8
Double faults / match·
—
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Geerlings A.66%
Pace F.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Geerlings A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Geerlings A.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Pace F.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Geerlings A.Pace F.
Freshness·Even
70
66

Geerlings A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Pace F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw