Xiaodi You vs Luiza Fullana | Sao Paulo Qualifying Round of 16

Sao Paulo · WTA · Qualifying Round of 16

CHN

Xiaodi You

#206WTA

1461ELO

1484Hard ELO

$111kYTD

$715kCAREER

30 yrs

Last 10

LLLLLLLLWL

—

Sets

Saturday, 12 September 2026 · 10:10

hard

BRA

Luiza Fullana

#458WTA

$16kYTD

$60kCAREER

25 yrs

Last 10

LLWWWWWWWW

You X.

Fullana L.

Xiaodi You faces Luiza Fullana in the Sao Paulo qualifying round of 16 on hard. Xiaodi You is the paper favourite — ranked #206 — but Luiza Fullana rides a 5-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC

You X.60%

Fullana L.40%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · You X. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Luiza Fullana rising, Xiaodi You cooling.
Win streak: Luiza Fullana arrives on a 5-match winning run.
Stage: Luiza Fullana defends last year's round of 32.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

You X.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Fullana L.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.26 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

6.96 of last 10 on hard

0.0Lost last 7

Win streak

9.05-match win streak

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

34 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season

You X.Fullana L.

1st serve in·Even

60%

64%

1st serve points won·Even

61%

59%

2nd serve points won·Even

44%

46%

Service points won·Even

54%

Return points won·Even

48%

49%

Break points saved·Even

52%

56%

Aces / match·Even

2.1

1.7

Double faults / match·Clear edge

4.4

3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

You X.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Fullana L.

Fullana L.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs You X.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

You X.Fullana L.

Freshness·

—

You X.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather forecast

18°CShowers

Wind 9 km/hHumidity 92%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Xiaodi You vs Luiza Fullana — Sao Paulo Qualifying Round of 16