Maks Kasnikowski vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Istanbul Semi-final

Istanbul · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
POL6
Maks Kasnikowski
#258ATP
1400ELO
1369Hard ELO
$53kYTD
$384kCAREER
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 12 September 2026 ·
hard
Center Court · 2nd on
JPN
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
#312ATP
1503ELO
1480Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWLWL
Kasnikowski M.
6-7 4-6
Dylan Hara Friend J.
Kasnikowski M.
6440
Dylan Hara Friend J.
7762

Jay Dylan Hara Friend defeated Maks Kasnikowski in the semifinals of the Istanbul hard-court tournament, winning 7-6, 6-4. Friend served five aces to Kasnikowski's one and committed one double fault to none. Neither player converted a break point or won a service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Kasnikowski M.5/10
Dylan Hara Friend J.7/12

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Kasnikowski M.Dylan Hara Friend J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Kasnikowski M.64%
Dylan Hara Friend J.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kasnikowski M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kasnikowski M.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Dylan Hara Friend J.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1369
Surface ELO
6.4+111 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1400
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1503
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kasnikowski M.Dylan Hara Friend J.
Freshness·Even
60
58

Kasnikowski M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Dylan Hara Friend J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw