Ana Candiotto vs Cadence Brace — Sao Paulo Qualifying Round of 16
Candiotto A.
Ana Candiotto faces Cadence Brace in the Sao Paulo qualifying round of 16 on hard. Cadence Brace is the paper favourite — ranked #258, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 290-point hard Elo advantage — but Ana Candiotto arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Cadence Brace's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Brace C. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
- Head-to-head: Cadence Brace leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W35 Barueri 2026.
- Surface form: Ana Candiotto 7 of 10, Cadence Brace 5 of 10 on hard recently — Ana Candiotto the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadBrace C.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | W35 Barueri | QF | hard | Cadence Brace | 6-3 6-4 |