Victoria Bosio vs Lizette CabreraSao Paulo Qualifying Round of 16

Sao Paulo · WTA · Qualifying Round of 16
#323WTA
1239ELO
1200Hard ELO
$24kYTD
$158kCAREER
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLWWWL
Sets
Saturday, 12 September 2026 ·
hard
#281WTA
1453ELO
1418Hard ELO
$92kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLWWW
Bosio V.
vs
Cabrera L.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Bosio V.44%
Cabrera L.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1200
Surface ELO
7.7+218 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1239
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1453
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.14 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

38 vs 38 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bosio V.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Cabrera L.

Cabrera L.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Bosio V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Cabrera L.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CShowers
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 92%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw