Ryan Dickerson vs Joao Vitor Goncalves CeolinM15 Leme Round of 16

M15 Leme · ITF · Round of 16
#706ATP
1181ELO
1187Clay ELO
$8kYTD
$38kCAREER
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 11 September 2026 ·
clay
#1147ATP
$6kYTD
$21kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLL
Dickerson R.
6-2 2-6 9-11
Vitor Goncalves Ceolin J.
Dickerson R.
6291
Vitor Goncalves Ceolin J.
26112

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin advanced to the quarterfinals of the M15 Leme tournament with a win over Ryan Dickerson in the Round of 16. Dickerson retired during the match, trailing 2-6, 6-2, 1-0. The two players had converted 3 service breaks each, and Ceolin had 4 aces to Dickerson's 0.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Dickerson R.6/7
Vitor Goncalves Ceolin J.7/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-29M15 Orange Park 1Q16clayRyan Dickerson6-4 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Dickerson R.65%
Vitor Goncalves Ceolin J.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dickerson R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
3.13 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.92 of last 7 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Vitor Goncalves Ceolin J.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw